Villanueva vs Eder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DEU
2 - 6
VIL
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 3
RIH
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MOV
1 - 1
VIL
23%
20%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
GAR
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LJF
3 - 2
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Eder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HIS
3 - 0
EDE
51%
20%
29%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
EDE
4 - 3
DEU
35%
22%
43%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EDE
1 - 4
VED
30%
22%
48%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
RIH
4 - 3
EDE
48%
20%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOV
0 - 0
EDE
49%
21%
30%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |