CD Villamuriel vs Bosco Arévalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villamuriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CEB
2 - 0
VIL
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
UNA
48%
24%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 3
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 2
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bosco Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 1
VDB
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 2
UXA
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CEB
3 - 0
BOS
47%
23%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOS
3 - 1
GRA
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
UXA
1 - 1
BOS
54%
21%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |