Villalbilla vs Sporting Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FSF
3 - 0
CFV
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 0
CFV
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CFV
0 - 3
MAJ
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CFV
3 - 1
OCB
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FAL
4 - 1
CFV
50%
20%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
SDH
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 0
NPI
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ESB
4 - 1
SAL
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FSF
3 - 2
SAL
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 5
CAB
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |