Villafranco vs Pilas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+284%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LCF
1 - 0
VIL
31%
25%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
ROC
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 2
VIL
37%
23%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 3
OSU
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PIL
1 - 1
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UDR
2 - 0
PIL
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PIL
1 - 0
CDP
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDB
3 - 1
PIL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PIL
2 - 1
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |