Villafranca vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CPR
0 - 3
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 1
CDB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORE
2 - 0
VIL
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 0
VIL
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPH
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
CDB
30%
23%
48%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 3
UDF
22%
22%
56%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
VAL
15%
22%
63%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
EMD
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |