CD Villacañas vs CD Marchamalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
6º
40
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
UBC
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 2
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
TOR
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CSP
2 - 0
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
TDR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VRU
1 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
QRE
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ILL
5 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |