Villa Nova vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRZ
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAT
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 0
POA
49%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 6
AMF
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
IFC
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 1
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |