Villa Nova vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AMF
3 - 0
VIL
81%
15%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 5
TFC
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
DEM
4 - 3
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 2
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRZ
10%
23%
67%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
USC
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |