Villa Nova vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ULU
0 - 1
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIL
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAH
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 0
AYM
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DEM
3 - 1
POA
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ATH
3 - 1
DEM
35%
23%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEM
39%
23%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |