Villa Nova vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CAB
1 - 1
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
AMF
0 - 2
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 2
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 2
IFC
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CAB
1 - 1
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
VOL
0 - 0
CAB
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
CAB
0 - 1
AMF
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 3
CAB
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CAB
1 - 0
AME
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |