Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca vs Sansinena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
7º
2º
43
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 4
VIL
13%
28%
59%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SDM
0 - 4
VIL
20%
29%
51%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
GER
77%
17%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CIP
0 - 0
VIL
21%
30%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
LIN
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
OLI
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SDM
4 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GER
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |