Villa Valle vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
USB
0 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
OLG
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
24%
23%
54%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |