Vilhena vs Guajará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARI
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
PPE
3 - 0
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
PPE
7%
18%
75%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Guajará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEN
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
RIO
1 - 0
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 62 | 51 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIO
19%
23%
58%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | +1 |