Vilches vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 0
CDR
58%
21%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 4
MEN
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEN
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 1
RJA
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
RJA
6 - 1
ATL
56%
22%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
CLU
2 - 2
RJA
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 2
FSV
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |