Vilches vs Mancha Real B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+327%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
IDJ
4 - 3
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDA
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAV
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDV
20%
19%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
4 - 0
MAN
79%
13%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDH
3 - 2
MAN
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
IDJ
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 3
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |