Vilches vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+138%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
MLK
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 2
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BAE
1 - 3
ATM
47%
25%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAE
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BAE
2 - 2
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 3
BAE
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BAE
0 - 1
MIJ
53%
25%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |