Vilches vs At. Marbellí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 3
NER
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
RJA
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
MIJ
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Marbellí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MLK
2 - 1
ATM
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 0
ATM
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MIJ
1 - 2
ATM
34%
25%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |