Vilches vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
JOD
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 3
VIL
8%
18%
73%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CLU
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
ESC
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
UDG
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CDA
1 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFS
28%
24%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAE
4 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 4
BAI
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |