Vilaverdense FC vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
12º
12º
27
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 12 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 12 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 9 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 1
AMA
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 2
LUS
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 0
TRO
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
BRA
20%
23%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 1
BRA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |