Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A. Jor. 9

Vilar de Perdizes vs Dumiense FC analysis

Vilar de Perdizes Dumiense FC
32 ELO 34
-5.9% Tilt -8.5%
7576º General ELO ranking 7161º
158º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Vilar de Perdizes
22.5%
Draw
34.8%
Dumiense FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Vilar de Perdizes
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.8%
Win probability
Dumiense FC
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vilar de Perdizes
+19%
+32%
Dumiense FC

Points and table prediction

Vilar de Perdizes
Their league position
Dumiense FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
12º
11º
35
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Os Limianos
45
45
100%
Pevidém
44
44
100%
Tirsense
43
43
100%
Camacha
38
38
100%
Brito SC
38
38
100%
Marítimo II
35
35
100%
Vila Real
35
35
0%
Os Sandinenses
35
35
0%
Dumiense FC
35
35
100%
Montalegre
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Vilar de Perdizes
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Portosantense
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Mirandela
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Ribeirão
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vilar de Perdizes
Dumiense FC
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Vilar de Perdizes
Dumiense FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vilar de Perdizes
Vilar de Perdizes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2023
OSA
Os Sandinenses
1 - 1
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
37%
22%
41%
32 25 7 0
28 Oct. 2023
VPE
Vilar de Perdizes
2 - 2
Vila Real
VIL
64%
18%
18%
32 24 8 0
20 Oct. 2023
VPE
Vilar de Perdizes
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
2%
11%
87%
32 89 57 0
08 Oct. 2023
RIB
Ribeirão
0 - 0
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
63%
19%
18%
32 37 5 0
01 Oct. 2023
VPE
Vilar de Perdizes
3 - 3
Os Limianos
OSL
42%
23%
35%
31 34 3 +1

Matches

Dumiense FC
Dumiense FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2023
DUM
Dumiense FC
0 - 2
Mirandela
MIR
57%
21%
23%
35 34 1 0
28 Oct. 2023
PEV
Pevidém
2 - 1
Dumiense FC
DUM
53%
24%
24%
36 40 4 -1
22 Oct. 2023
DUM
Dumiense FC
1 - 0
AVS Futebol
AVE
38%
22%
40%
35 36 1 +1
07 Oct. 2023
OSA
Os Sandinenses
1 - 1
Dumiense FC
DUM
25%
21%
54%
35 23 12 0
01 Oct. 2023
DUM
Dumiense FC
2 - 1
Vila Real
VIL
74%
15%
11%
35 23 12 0
X