ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 0
VIL
52%
26%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BDP
36%
30%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
BBM
2 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
QUE
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HCB
2 - 1
FER
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BDP
0 - 1
FER
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FER
3 - 1
BBM
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |