ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
VIL
40%
31%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
FCC
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
HCB
1 - 0
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
DMA
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PEM
0 - 2
VIL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
MAX
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TEX
0 - 0
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
COS
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
FER
33%
29%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
IDX
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |