Vilafranquense vs Cacém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POV
0 - 4
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
PER
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
OEI
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Cacém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAC
4 - 0
IRI
26%
23%
51%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
CAC
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 1
COU
22%
22%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAC
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAC
2 - 0
TOJ
16%
20%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |