Vilafranca vs Calvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
56.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ACM
3 - 1
VIL
65%
18%
18%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 5
ART
47%
20%
33%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 3
POR
49%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
PCR
33%
21%
45%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
STM
5 - 0
VIL
86%
9%
5%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
4 - 1
CAL
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
LLO
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALQ
4 - 0
CAL
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |