Vila Real vs Sobrado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
COI
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sobrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SOB
0 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COI
1 - 0
SOB
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
SOB
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 2
GON
30%
27%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 1
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |