Vila Nova vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
VIL
37%
26%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ICA
0 - 3
VIL
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
CUI
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 2
SAL
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ARN
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ICA
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |