Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAR
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 0
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BPA
2 - 1
VIL
8%
14%
79%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
PPE
1 - 1
CRI
62%
23%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
COT
2 - 0
PPE
34%
31%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
RBB
0 - 0
PPE
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
PPE
2 - 0
OES
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
APA
2 - 0
PPE
9%
19%
72%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |