Vila Nova vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
SCI
21%
29%
50%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
PAY
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 2
PAR
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
CRI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LON
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |