Vila Nova vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
13%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 3
VIL
23%
30%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRE
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 0
IMP
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
VIL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
33%
31%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
IMP
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REM
1 - 0
MAN
58%
25%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
SAN
19%
29%
52%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
TRE
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |