Vila Nova vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 1
CUI
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CUI
1 - 0
LUV
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 0
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 0
LUV
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 0
CEC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |