Vila Nova vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 2
VIL
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
BRA
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
COT
2 - 0
VIL
53%
27%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMF
34%
31%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
VIT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 1
FFL
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 1
PAR
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FFL
1 - 1
LON
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AMF
0 - 4
FFL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |