Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
FFL
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
AMF
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ICA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |