Viktoria Plzeň vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
3º
49
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
85 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
87 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 3 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 3 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
SLP
3 - 0
VKP
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VKP
4 - 2
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 0
MBO
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 0
TEP
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 0
ZLI
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
BAN
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
MBO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SLP
5 - 0
BAN
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
SLI
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 3
BAN
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |