Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIK
2 - 0
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 4
VIK
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VIK
4 - 2
S04
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KRA
0 - 3
VIK
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
VIK
3 - 1
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
4 - 2
MSV
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 1
WIE
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
S04
3 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 2
KRA
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
MSV
54%
22%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |