Viktoria Arnoldsweiler vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
14º
16º
16º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BSC
4 - 2
VIA
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 2
HUR
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 0
VIA
70%
16%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
WEG
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
3 - 2
KON
22%
20%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PES
3 - 1
H05
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 6
H05
13%
18%
68%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
H05
1 - 1
SVE
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
H05
3 - 0
SPV
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
5 - 2
H05
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |