Viking FK II vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
4º
3º
11
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 49 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 47 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 40 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 36 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 30 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 28 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 24 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 12 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viking FK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 1
VIK
36%
24%
41%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 2
BRA
41%
23%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
4 - 3
VIK
52%
21%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 1
JER
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIK
36%
22%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ORN
3 - 2
HOD
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
ORN
63%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 3
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 0
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
0 - 3
MJO
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |