VIFK vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
10º
5º
19
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VIFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 3
VIF
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 1
VIF
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VIF
0 - 1
IFK
18%
22%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
VIF
4 - 0
TP4
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AKA
2 - 0
VIF
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
OLS
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HER
3 - 3
KUO
58%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GBK
3 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
ROP
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |