Victory vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DON
2 - 2
VIC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIC
42%
32%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 1
AIG
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 1
CAV
56%
27%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
VIC
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
ASM
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
CAV
41%
34%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
AME
39%
31%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
ASM
55%
27%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
FIC
31%
32%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |