Victoria Hamburg vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
12º
10º
40
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
1 - 1
VHG
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 4
EIM
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
2 - 1
DAS
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
VHG
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 2
HAM
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 3
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WAN
5 - 1
UTO
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 0
HAM
52%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
EIM
1 - 1
UTO
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 0
OSD
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |