Victoria Carei vs Lotus Baile Felix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
2º
37
4º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
35 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
40 | 19 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 14 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 13 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 12 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Carei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 3
VIC
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
OSM
3 - 3
VIC
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
SNT
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
MBM
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BAI
1 - 2
VIC
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Lotus Baile Felix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
MBM
2 - 0
BAI
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 3
BAI
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BAI
1 - 0
OSM
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SNT
3 - 0
BAI
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BAI
1 - 2
VIC
63%
19%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |