Vicenza vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 0
ABN
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CAG
0 - 0
VIC
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 0
NAP
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COM
0 - 1
VIC
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TRE
59%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
ABN
0 - 0
TRI
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |