Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
EMP
2 - 1
VIC
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VIC
4 - 1
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
TOR
2 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VIC
2 - 2
PRG
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIC
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2005 |
MOD
4 - 0
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 2
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 1
EMP
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAL
2 - 2
MOD
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |