Vicenza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIC
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
VIC
2 - 1
EMP
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 1
VIC
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAD
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 1
VIC
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 2
LEC
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 1
ABN
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 3
LEC
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |