Vicenza vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 3
VIC
74%
14%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 2
JUV
28%
24%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
BRE
4 - 1
VIC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIC
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 0
AND
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
BOL
4 - 0
VNZ
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
GEN
3 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUV
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
TOR
4 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |