Vicenza vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
UNI
4 - 2
VIC
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 0
FAN
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 3
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 1
VER
57%
21%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 2
VIC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
TRE
4 - 2
SPE
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
VER
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SPE
3 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |