Campeonato de Portugal Group A Round 16

Vianense vs Tirsense analysis

Vianense Tirsense
38 ELO 40
-24.7% Tilt -9.6%
6783º General ELO ranking 5519º
148º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Vianense
26.4%
Draw
33.5%
Tirsense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
Vianense
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.5%
Win probability
Tirsense
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vianense
-40%
+1%
Tirsense

Points and table prediction

Vianense
Their league position
Tirsense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Amarante
51
51
57.5%
Vianense
50
51
57.5%
Pevidém
43
46
89%
Tirsense
44
44
89%
Vila Meã
39
39
100%
Vilar de Perdizes
35
36
82%
Brito SC
35
35
82%
Dumiense FC
31
34
68%
Merelinense
30
33
68%
Pedras Salgadas
10º
29
30
10º
76%
AR São Martinho
13º
24
27
11º
14%
Monção
11º
26
27
12º
17%
Maria da Fonte
12º
25
25
13º
49%
Braganca
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vianense
Tirsense
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vianense
Tirsense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vianense
Vianense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
VPE
Vilar de Perdizes
3 - 1
Vianense
VIA
14%
19%
67%
41 24 17 0
15 Jan. 2023
VIA
Vianense
2 - 1
Merelinense
MER
53%
24%
23%
40 33 7 +1
08 Jan. 2023
VIA
Vianense
1 - 0
Pedras Salgadas
PED
52%
25%
24%
39 35 4 +1
18 Dec. 2022
AMA
Amarante
2 - 4
Vianense
VIA
58%
24%
18%
38 43 5 +1
11 Dec. 2022
VIA
Vianense
2 - 0
Braganca
BRA
67%
20%
12%
37 25 12 +1

Matches

Tirsense
Tirsense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
MON
Monção
1 - 4
Tirsense
TIR
19%
22%
59%
39 24 15 0
15 Jan. 2023
TIR
Tirsense
0 - 2
Vilar de Perdizes
VPE
77%
15%
8%
39 22 17 0
08 Jan. 2023
TIR
Tirsense
2 - 1
Merelinense
MER
53%
23%
23%
39 34 5 0
18 Dec. 2022
PED
Pedras Salgadas
1 - 2
Tirsense
TIR
40%
26%
34%
38 36 2 +1
11 Dec. 2022
TIR
Tirsense
0 - 1
Amarante
AMA
36%
28%
36%
39 42 3 -1