Vianense vs Serzedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VIA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PED
2 - 2
VIA
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIA
0 - 2
VIA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIA
1 - 0
VIE
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
VIA
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Serzedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 0
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
LEC
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
SER
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
ALI
12%
19%
70%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +4 |