VfR Garching vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NUR
6 - 0
VRG
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ILL
3 - 1
VRG
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VRG
0 - 2
AUG
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 1
VRG
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 1
VRG
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIK
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
6 - 1
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 3
BAY
26%
22%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
3 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAI
1 - 2
BAY
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |