Oberliga Mittelrhein Round 8

VfL Vichttal vs Viktoria Arnoldsweiler analysis

VfL Vichttal Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
27 ELO 19
6.4% Tilt 4.4%
4800º General ELO ranking 29420º
229º Country ELO ranking 880º
ELO win probability
69.8%
VfL Vichttal
16.7%
Draw
13.5%
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
VfL Vichttal
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.5%
Win probability
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

VfL Vichttal
Their league position
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
10º
18
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hennef 05
68
68
100%
Wegberg-Beeck
65
65
100%
VfL Vichttal
61
61
100%
Bonner SC
56
56
100%
Eintracht Hohkeppel
51
51
100%
Bergisch Gladbach
50
50
100%
SpVgg Frechen
39
40
55%
Borussia Freialdenhoven
37
38
55%
Konigsdorf
13º
31
34
77%
Hürth
34
34
10º
77%
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
10º
33
33
11º
77%
Fortuna Köln II
11º
32
32
12º
12.5%
Siegburger SV 04
12º
32
32
13º
0%
FC BW Friesdorf
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Pesch
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfL Vichttal
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

VfL Vichttal
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Vichttal
VfL Vichttal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2022
VFL
VfL Vichttal
4 - 2
Bonner SC
BSC
15%
20%
65%
23 40 17 0
18 Sep. 2022
HUR
Hürth
1 - 0
VfL Vichttal
VFL
40%
24%
36%
24 25 1 -1
11 Sep. 2022
VFL
VfL Vichttal
6 - 1
Eintracht Hohkeppel
SVE
36%
22%
42%
23 26 3 +1
04 Sep. 2022
WEG
Wegberg-Beeck
3 - 0
VfL Vichttal
VFL
72%
16%
12%
24 35 11 -1
28 Aug. 2022
VFL
VfL Vichttal
3 - 1
Konigsdorf
KON
12%
17%
71%
20 36 16 +4

Matches

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2022
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1 - 2
Pesch
PES
44%
22%
33%
21 22 1 0
18 Sep. 2022
H05
Hennef 05
5 - 1
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
VIA
73%
16%
11%
21 34 13 0
10 Sep. 2022
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1 - 1
Bonner SC
BSC
12%
18%
70%
20 40 20 +1
04 Sep. 2022
HUR
Hürth
1 - 1
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
VIA
58%
22%
20%
20 26 6 0
28 Aug. 2022
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
0 - 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
SVE
35%
22%
44%
21 25 4 -1