VfL Vichttal vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
10º
3º
56
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Vichttal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
VFL
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VFL
6 - 1
SVE
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WEG
3 - 0
VFL
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 1
KON
11%
16%
74%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +4 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BFR
0 - 0
VFL
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 0
SPF
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
BSC
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 1
H05
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 0
PES
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
BSC
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |